Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf85f75486892eb68f239862ffbd2b93dad3191a63a81ea0b8184c0d9a69e5895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $703,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $726,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 14c | 80,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.98 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 78,200$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,123.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 15c | 57,246$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,650 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 14c | 35,714$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 34,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.99 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 20,588$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 14,367$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.4 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 12,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 13c | 10,872$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.4 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 16c | 9,995$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.65 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 14c | 8,651$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 14c | 8,129$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 16c | 6,324$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…9915backed Yes | 15c | 4,684$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 18c | 3,316$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…0554backed Yes | 15c | 3,171$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 2,642$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.88 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,471$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 16c | 2,300$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,025$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,006$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 14c | 1,862$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 14c | 1,738$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,713$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 1,587$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 14c | 1,579$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 14c | 1,464$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,382$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…8fafbacked Yes | 14c | 1,364$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…4bcabacked Yes | 14c | 1,347$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,237$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 1,192$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,173$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 1,133$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,059$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 14c | 1,029$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…afc9backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 13c | 998.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 14c | 905$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 14c | 819.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…1911backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…f409backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3347…c9c2backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…d6cabacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 712.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 16c | 676.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…afa4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 14c | 654.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 14c | 572$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 18c | 546.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 18c | 540.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…270bbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 14c | 497.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 14c | 493$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 15c | 487.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 15c | 480.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…95edbacked Yes | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes | 14c | 446.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes | 18c | 440.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…8031backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 17c | 421$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.