TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$703,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$726,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…7910backed Yes14c80,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.9814343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c78,200$11,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,123.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes15c57,246$8,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6502222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes14c34,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.9956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes14c20,588$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.562,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes14c14,367$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes14c12,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes13c10,872$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes16c9,995$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.6517733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes14c8,651$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25225124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes14c8,129$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1389440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes16c6,324$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…9915backed Yes15c4,684$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9911218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes18c3,316$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6611038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d56…0554backed Yes15c3,171$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+110.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes14c2,642$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes14c2,471$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34628425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes16c2,300$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36815226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes16c2,025$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes14c2,006$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes14c1,862$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.66826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes14c1,738$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes14c1,713$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8450214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes18c1,587$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes14c1,579$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22122421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be9…47e1backed Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes14c1,464$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes14c1,382$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb174…8fafbacked Yes14c1,364$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…4bcabacked Yes14c1,347$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.632213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes14c1,237$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1536627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Yes14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c1,192$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes15c1,173$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes14c1,143$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c1,133$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes16c1,100$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17627811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes14c1,059$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes14c1,029$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes17c1,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16624626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f70…afc9backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes13c998.53$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8115911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes14c905$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.72,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes14c819.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7334231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes14c720$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86229%18 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a72…f409backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3347…c9c2backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012949.6%64 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f7…d6cabacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes17c712.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9834247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes16c676.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…afa4backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes14c654.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.71567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes14c572$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0830214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes18c546.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes18c540.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes14c497.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6219125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes14c493$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes15c487.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.211632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes15c480.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275e…95edbacked Yes15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes14c446.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes18c440.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.45429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78b3…8031backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes17c421$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616727.5%46 W · 121 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.