Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6a94ce195c7a268dbb631563ccca7bafe46b832ddf4bc80bd0aac9b93ba46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 40,483$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…9afebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 6c | 5,833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 6c | 3,499$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 13c | 3,425$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 2,214$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…4bcabacked Yes | 6c | 1,650$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…95edbacked Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…aee2backed Yes | 8c | 1,033$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 2c | 999.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 8c | 999.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 6c | 888$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…a9c8backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 801$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 8c | 766.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 6c | 737$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 6c | 633.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 6c | 630$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9260backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 6c | 516.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 6c | 514.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 10c | 483.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…2ac1backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…71f5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 5c | 299.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 5c | 299.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 11c | 263.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…71efbacked Yes | 6c | 208.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 8.8%7 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 8c | 189.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…99e4backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Yes | 8c | 128.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…9ce4backed Yes | 8c | 128.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 12c | 95.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.