Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe036c459009f26ac85200b89929c048a5d047f38cd2c9639e63df8e35a263ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 244,047$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 4c | 13,153$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Yes | 5c | 10,121$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,826$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Yes | 1c | 9,188$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…2519backed Yes | 6c | 3,533$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 4c | 2,735$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes | 2c | 2,499$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 1c | 2,228$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 4c | 2,040$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Yes | 5c | 1,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 5c | 1,936$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b1…d4bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…65d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…6657backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 4c | 938.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…a35dbacked Yes | 1c | 908.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 1c | 891.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 889.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 1c | 782.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…21cfbacked Yes | 5c | 695$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 4c | 689.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 4c | 620.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 4c | 585.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 5c | 548.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…ed2bbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 5c | 499.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…a2f5backed Yes | 4c | 499.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…c7aabacked Yes | 4c | 349.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 332.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…1b0bbacked Yes | 5c | 260.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 5c | 259$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…8ea2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…1163backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 5c | 243.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…a0a9backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 9c | 149.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.