TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Nuno Borges
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$696,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$711,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nuno Borges8c45,192$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Nuno Borges14c40,011$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,642.9422252.7%117 W · 105 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Nuno Borges0c31,930$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7418932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Nuno Borges5c22,292$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.66740.3%27 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Nuno Borges5c20,380$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.9924841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Nuno Borges12c15,504$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.6612839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Nuno Borges7c15,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.61,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Nuno Borges0c11,453$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.451,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Nuno Borges5c10,949$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49838033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nuno Borges4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Nuno Borges8c9,924$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.322552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Nuno Borges4c8,431$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9318315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuno Borges4c8,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nuno Borges4c7,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Nuno Borges7c7,395$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0513029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Nuno Borges4c6,811$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4433346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Nuno Borges7c6,772$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0212814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Nuno Borges4c6,758$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835213.5%7 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Nuno Borges3c6,635$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6147639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nuno Borges2c6,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Nuno Borges2c5,116$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.852814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Nuno Borges13c5,113$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6530440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Nuno Borges13c5,100$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7745036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Nuno Borges6c4,727$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.119340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nuno Borges4c4,369$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.763,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f93…eb20backed Nuno Borges12c4,185$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008439.3%33 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Nuno Borges7c4,139$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4980341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Nuno Borges8c3,969$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4471725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Nuno Borges5c3,773$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.981816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Nuno Borges6c3,510$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Nuno Borges12c3,394$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Nuno Borges6c3,393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Nuno Borges7c3,226$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Nuno Borges2c3,151$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.122634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Nuno Borges5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Nuno Borges12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Nuno Borges11c2,741$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nuno Borges7c2,550$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.982,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Nuno Borges2c2,445$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1312631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Nuno Borges5c2,354$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Nuno Borges5c2,228$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9638911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3573…3976backed Nuno Borges8c2,204$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.87922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa317…344dbacked Nuno Borges7c2,175$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Nuno Borges5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Nuno Borges7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8760943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Nuno Borges11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Nuno Borges2c1,770$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5552739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Nuno Borges6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Nuno Borges7c1,647$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11819410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Nuno Borges6c1,580$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nuno Borges8c1,543$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.084,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…6b15backed Nuno Borges8c1,538$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Nuno Borges4c1,388$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuno Borges7c1,328$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.052,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Nuno Borges1c1,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Nuno Borges5c1,150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.729924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Nuno Borges7c1,044$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7348214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Nuno Borges5c1,012$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3613245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Nuno Borges7c1,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6989850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…357cbacked Nuno Borges5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Nuno Borges8c957.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Nuno Borges2c807.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Nuno Borges5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Nuno Borges3c787.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nuno Borges5c779.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Nuno Borges6c746.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5512335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Nuno Borges3c718.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208042.5%34 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Nuno Borges7c694.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Nuno Borges7c688.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1713636.8%50 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuno Borges4c645.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nuno Borges4c642.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.871,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Nuno Borges8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Nuno Borges2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Nuno Borges7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408725.3%22 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nuno Borges6c562.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Nuno Borges10c554.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9439055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Nuno Borges8c501.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Nuno Borges5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…2ccbbacked Nuno Borges3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Nuno Borges4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Nuno Borges11c500$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9826921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Nuno Borges6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Nuno Borges6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Nuno Borges5c499.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Nuno Borges11c481.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.966844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcad…1d64backed Nuno Borges5c480$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…faa6backed Nuno Borges3c467.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138043.8%35 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Nuno Borges5c440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…c2c7backed Nuno Borges8c432.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-78%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Nuno Borges5c425.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226830.9%21 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Nuno Borges5c421.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.074930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Nuno Borges5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nuno Borges8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4492352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Nuno Borges5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ae…e127backed Nuno Borges5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd055…f90ebacked Nuno Borges5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51e…0079backed Nuno Borges5c386.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nuno Borges7c380.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…7f00backed Nuno Borges13c374.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nuno Borges4c367.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.