Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9af49e8cbe5cffc7fef4d6bef056bf320beaacd89e3ba19f145c54024ac251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Borges | 3c | 1,533$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Sinner | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Borges | 29c | 454.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Borges | 22c | 441.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Sinner | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner | 67c | 418.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Borges | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…8aedbacked Sinner | 72c | 298.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…dd05backed Sinner | 74c | 268.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Borges | 17c | 252.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Borges | 26c | 230.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Borges | 46c | 218.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Borges | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…53f7backed Sinner | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Borges | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Borges | 55c | 195.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Borges | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked Sinner | 77c | 180.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Sinner | 56c | 176.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Borges | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Sinner | 79c | 104.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Borges | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Borges | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Borges | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Borges | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Borges | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…24d5backed Borges | 25c | 82.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Sinner | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Borges | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Sinner | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Borges | 38c | 39.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Sinner | 62c | 39.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sinner | 68c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Borges | 32c | 32.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Sinner | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Borges | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sinner | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs BorgesSinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs BorgesSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs BorgesSinner won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno BorgesJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.