TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64a0…ad68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT6349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.59
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.56
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$52.52
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.22
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.26
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.01
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Senegal to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$83.51
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$59.28
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.79
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$84.24
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.92
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.3
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.23
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.19
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.67
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+257.9%+$59.32
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$56.32
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.48
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Arnaldibacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Berrettinibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.