TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,721 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x556c…93cebacked Yes47c699.99$329 inWon+$37124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…dbeabacked No53c566.58$300 inLost-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x872b…a9c3backed Yes48c415.33$198 inWon+$217.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes39c273.86$107 inWon+$167.1633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86aa…0d32backed No75c246$185 inLost-$184.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes25c200$50 inWon+$15065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No52c199.99$104 inLost-$10422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes46c192.92$89 inWon+$104.3136954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b24…de70backed No53c189.16$100 inLost-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed No57c156.32$89 inLost-$89.11540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed No59c146.75$86 inLost-$865259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed Yes43c130$56 inWon+$74.14360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked No57c106.14$60 inLost-$602343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Yes80c100.06$80 inWon+$20.0632750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3498…5088backed No54c100$54 inLost-$54955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+108.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes48c93.92$45 inWon+$48.9215351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes44c88$39 inWon+$49.281080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+76.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No56c61$34 inLost-$34.1630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No53c60$32 inLost-$31.665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes46c55$25 inWon+$29.795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked No56c53.57$30 inLost-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Yes55c52.73$29 inWon+$23.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes46c50$23 inWon+$2714251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…e771backed No58c43.4$25 inLost-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes46c43.23$20 inWon+$23.2328943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes47c38.3$18 inWon+$20.327539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No50c32.94$16 inLost-$16.4426957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d14…6498backed No57c31.98$18 inLost-$18.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed No58c30$17 inLost-$17.419952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf784…4fefbacked Yes49c26.8$13 inWon+$13.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No53c25.49$14 inLost-$13.533356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed No58c20$12 inLost-$11.641227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes50c20$10 inWon+$109271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb96d…6af2backed Yes50c20$10 inWon+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No53c19.99$11 inLost-$10.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.