Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72681366c57d76ecd369e59982c022bb392001303f2d56f2eedb947f0485217d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 70c | 3,564$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 2,746$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 41c | 666.67$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 20c | 574.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 16c | 458.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Over | 56c | 400.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 264.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Over | 40c | 248.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 61c | 237.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Under | 12c | 217.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 47c | 216.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 209.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 200.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 36c | 183.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Over | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 132.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 55c | 128.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 64c | 110.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 94.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Under | 63c | 86.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 43.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 37.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Over | 53c | 37.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 50c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 60c | 20.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to AdvanceBeşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.