Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dec3b16f2dc70697fd0be1c1efcef694483ec022e39275bd72f7e1436a5f1c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 1,589$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.18 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 1,291$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 1,189$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.21 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 5c | 891.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 33c | 538.43$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 502.27$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 388.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 381.54$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 36c | 322.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Under | 65c | 315.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…fa07backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…54b0backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 10c | 307.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 286.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 209.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 165.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 67c | 163$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Under | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 80.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 66.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 69c | 63.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 60.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 65c | 60.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 57.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 41c | 55.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 47.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 64c | 46.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 36c | 28.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Under | 69c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Under | 67c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to AdvanceBeşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.