TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over58c2,049$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.422,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Over56c1,428$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.491747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over57c1,229$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over60c810.35$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c794.41$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under43c707.2$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.182166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under59c630.97$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7711645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c604.34$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under43c570$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under43c529$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under43c529$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c496.31$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.941,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fec…6d76backed Over59c496.27$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under45c473$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over59c467.49$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.825563.6%35 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under44c461.72$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.724360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa518…47e6backed Over51c385.25$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.51742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c369.39$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.364219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over10c353.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over7c350$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over45c334.79$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.136356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c333.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c328.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.231,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over42c307$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over59c288.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.972638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under44c283.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.465662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c254.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.437446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c239.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.122,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab01…c9f1backed Over50c222.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over47c213.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c209.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4923949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under47c202$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.637043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under42c196.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.081,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under52c179.79$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under54c174$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.943246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Under44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2659…e15abacked Over59c170.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6617233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c169.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8165549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c161.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.582,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Over55c152.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.761421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under41c149.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2513050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Under67c149.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under75c142.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.962138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over41c137.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5112355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under54c128.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.848121%17 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over23c128.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over32c121.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.952040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over41c120.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4360%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2b…0be8backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under43c107.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3512548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under49c107.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9118244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Under70c106.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over59c104$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.051,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5912254.1%66 W · 56 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231675%12 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under55c96.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3235944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over58c96.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.341,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Over50c93.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.871030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over32c92.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…1f85backed Over57c87.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Under43c86.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.172050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under41c84.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.692425%6 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c81.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under44c74.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.745952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c68.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fac…8fd7backed Under78c65.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under56c61.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.985236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1de8…e624backed Over25c61.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Over21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.165162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over50c52.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.212825%7 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Under49c50.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over59c50.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.658042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c50.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under45c49.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over53c47.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510238.2%39 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.158551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over50c43.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7911839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under44c43.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0316443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under50c42.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.186657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under44c39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Under46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Over58c38.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under43c36.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb1…b81dbacked Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c34.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4815544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c33.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1879354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under58c32.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.713672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under58c32.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.555257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.