TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87f8…9ff4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$131.42
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$87.05
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+60%+$147.79
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.03
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$11.18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$29.25
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$76.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+182%+$54.01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$25.08
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.95
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$47.02
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.21
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$35.93
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$147.5
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$2.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$87.08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.76
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+182.2%+$199.03
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.17
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$57.9
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$108.22
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$32.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.