TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No41c33,759$13,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,785.358,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No34c30,925$10,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,257.0531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes67c27,479$18,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,337.0749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes62c24,922$15,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,441.982,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes11c17,299$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.7331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No33c11,744$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,868.243073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No54c10,970$5,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes13c10,524$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.929920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No34c9,321$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,151.7842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e9…b9efbacked Yes67c9,220$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No35c8,571$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,571.433644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Yes50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes60c6,037$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes49c5,908$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.4323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No33c5,874$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes61c5,731$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c5,601$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes68c5,557$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.1575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No76c5,440$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes66c5,030$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.243821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes39c4,922$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.449641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No73c3,639$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No33c3,617$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.171,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed No27c3,607$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.546524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes65c3,429$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.576553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No72c3,326$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.1411354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes65c3,202$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.051,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes47c3,008$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.3657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No33c2,937$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.561070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No61c2,934$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes37c2,711$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.636412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes65c2,707$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.63,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes3c2,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No17c2,222$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.8421538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes40c2,200$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes43c1,921$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.5637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes74c1,836$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.0916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No43c1,688$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.4926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No26c1,670$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.4555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c1,633$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.121,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No62c1,605$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.958660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes45c1,536$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.76339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.051,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c1,507$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.621,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes68c1,458$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.4438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes43c1,377$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5412740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No41c1,368$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes67c1,323$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.561,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes48c1,297$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1411025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No50c1,211$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7110667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No65c1,172$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes67c1,118$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No9c1,105$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.598139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes8c1,071$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked No19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.63728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes67c1,045$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No35c1,037$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.146665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes53c982.72$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c965.36$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.784753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes20c953$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.534770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes33c915.64$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Yes48c912.5$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No58c908.48$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4597741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes45c884.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c832.09$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.365,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No52c765.97$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2616641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No39c761.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.977454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No33c759.36$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No44c730.45$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.3872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes55c726.44$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.033447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2365…af90backed Yes67c702.99$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No8c670.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.9312434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes8c661.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.097925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No79c657.3$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.58268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Yes51c651.49$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No8c651.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.438818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No50c650.85$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No8c624.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.976624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No67c623.99$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.292142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes47c616.35$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9112737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No35c616$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.41338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed Yes57c581.74$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No35c573.8$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No35c571.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.423458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes52c560$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5919053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Yes18c559.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes75c540$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes64c529.54$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3129047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes66c520$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes55c514.5$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9817051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes46c504.97$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.755837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No71c475.07$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.495957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes53c460.39$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c458.96$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.