South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361f22832ef01121b6b668fc64d1cf3e90551810ec4bc4028ed32720c668cfc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 12,591$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.31 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 9,352$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 7,440$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.08 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 5,844$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 5,386$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 7c | 4,986$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.88 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,079$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 4,061$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.95 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,687$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 3,569$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,150$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 2,769$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 2,685$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 12c | 1,985$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,574$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Yes | 14c | 1,391$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 79c | 1,391$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 12c | 1,317$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 21c | 1,211$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 9c | 854.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 25c | 579.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 12c | 528.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 9c | 383.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 353.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Yes | 16c | 327.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 25c | 295$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 19c | 233$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 11c | 216$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 21c | 209.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 11c | 186.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed No | 80c | 169$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 127.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 113.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 12c | 113.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da6…b511backed Yes | 13c | 98.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Yes | 14c | 90.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 23c | 90.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…1d57backed Yes | 12c | 84.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.