TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c13,340$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,744.558,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c8,919$5,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.262,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes22c7,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No65c6,393$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.2628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes50c6,190$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.8130048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No76c5,709$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.845164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes59c4,765$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.8423733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No7c4,310$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.143545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No78c3,300$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5741833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c2,913$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.655,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No19c2,305$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4710933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes59c2,300$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.1282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No9c1,787$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.711,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No65c1,503$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.2436339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes7c1,429$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5611025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No78c1,058$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.932842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c1,050$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.951,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No75c1,047$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No67c1,029$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.3337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes35c1,028$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.445837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c939.99$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.191,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No31c925.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5326835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c905$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.2799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes35c873.14$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes35c865.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5513134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…dc59backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c784.59$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.981,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No50c765.97$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8616641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes34c634.32$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No43c618.88$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.83016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes6c579.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.423441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes9c540$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.836144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19010364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes23c474.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.054346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes33c469$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.554337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Yes45c452.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c414.68$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.452,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18412338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No44c343.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6199…2852backed Yes74c338.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No50c276$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.34242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c269.43$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.661,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed No38c250$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f8…b109backed No72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No46c245$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.77060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c242.16$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes21c238.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.093834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No78c216$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.489551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No30c213.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes14c209.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes34c191$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.719053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No13c176$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1911350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c170.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.771,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes79c169.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No71c169$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3753836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes33c163.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No14c147$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No22c139.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes21c130.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No56c120.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Yes65c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yes80c104$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No19c103.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes58c99.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes56c98.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1610766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No38c95.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.184755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No32c94.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2115552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No57c87.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7112740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes22c84.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.87850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes15c77.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes34c75.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Yes28c72.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes22c63.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.643745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea7…bdccbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.151,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No21c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes27c55.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7711944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes21c52.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+179.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No78c51.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4217067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes29c45.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes38c44.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.413548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88d0…e755backed No54c37.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9970%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfb…7665backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Yes70c31.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8527…fa85backed Yes74c31.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.