TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c19,306$11,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,851.6131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No42c18,132$7,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,592.6829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No37c8,042$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No35c6,932$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.014456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes47c6,022$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.488763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c4,551$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.155,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No38c4,491$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.231,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes56c3,582$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.7411338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No44c3,389$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No36c3,100$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.148833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No44c2,675$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No39c2,640$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.3814530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes42c2,629$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.4810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No46c2,533$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.4516051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No47c2,488$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No37c2,442$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.687723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No48c2,303$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.373842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes49c1,817$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c1,629$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.471,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No46c1,605$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.598139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No27c1,579$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.95837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes52c1,564$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.6813748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No27c1,493$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.59920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No25c1,480$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No34c1,401$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes61c1,347$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes61c1,322$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.921,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Yes56c1,316$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.013148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes78c1,215$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.395957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No10c1,145$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.43927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes66c1,084$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Yes50c1,045$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed No49c1,027$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.023339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c1,020$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.68,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes44c979.71$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.771573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+81.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes32c926.51$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.5111220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No49c890.02$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes61c824.72$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No43c816.66$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3312738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No40c775.87$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3113856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes49c766.71$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.110933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No50c744.31$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No37c738.13$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.743040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes50c696$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No37c675.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes58c672.25$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.83,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ad…6690backed No41c603.17$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c586.77$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes59c501.62$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.35540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes59c466.35$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No41c449.98$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes48c442.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes64c432.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.258660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No49c419.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.797741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No35c418.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1711354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes43c410$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c407.91$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.321,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes57c395.55$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.871,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No54c373.79$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.722145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes52c357.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c354.31$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.973,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No71c352.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick75cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c339.77$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes38c322.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No12c287.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7215552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes62c266$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed No60c227.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.42564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No35c226.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes61c226.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No67c223.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.078268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No34c218$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.128551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes62c212.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.915651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No45c204.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes52c200.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes49c192.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No36c163.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No39c162.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.267856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes33c162.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1915625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No39c159.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes58c145.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes63c141.95$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5212754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes51c136.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No66c135.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6410766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No36c129.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7214149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed No42c119.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed No42c119.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef7e…bfd1backed Yes64c109.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No52c98.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.429244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes58c98.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No37c90.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6111143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes60c83.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3127855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes52c78.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.276527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes47c73.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8716864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.