South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad7ee051667d287d2404c81ff80abf3c110495ddd71566ff792b97deb78a475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 5,343$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 2,721$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.1 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 58c | 1,930$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.38 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 45c | 1,341$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,323$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 5c | 1,267$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 1,223$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.27 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,115$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 770.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 25c | 599.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 49c | 498.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 435.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked No | 79c | 376.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 271.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 48c | 256.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 229.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…f152backed No | 77c | 210.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 51c | 173.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 135.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 38c | 121.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 50c | 118.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 54c | 96.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 88.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 63c | 83.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 61c | 74.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 66.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 53c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 57.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 66c | 51.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…11c3backed Yes | 50c | 46.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 45.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…fa42backed No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 42c | 41.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 36.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 79c | 32.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 35c | 32.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 29.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…a583backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 54c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 74c | 23.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…802bbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.