Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846f7c7118294fe072669ca759d0cbaf34dbfbd0b8623d1fa72151fad1a6c41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,264$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 1,913$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 63c | 1,514$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.95 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 18c | 1,451$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 18c | 1,390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,344$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.33 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Yes | 20c | 1,315$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +396.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 22c | 435.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 5c | 383.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 329.21$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 51c | 327.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 281.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 70c | 279.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 26c | 265.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 258.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 28c | 252.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 217.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 14c | 192.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 50c | 175.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 28c | 168.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 51c | 166.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 25c | 159.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 78c | 122.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 57c | 120.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 120.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…7663backed No | 17c | 117.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 45c | 110.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 78c | 108.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…9ff4backed No | 71c | 108.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…0a90backed Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +500%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 40c | 87.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 40c | 87.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 60c | 82.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 65c | 79.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 69.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 25c | 68.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…01f0backed Yes | 22c | 67.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 67.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 54.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 52.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 79c | 51.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 38c | 50.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 76c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 32c | 35.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Yes | 42c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed No | 76c | 27.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 75c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 50c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 52c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…c9adbacked No | 75c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 13.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.