TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x337d…1968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.15
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.34
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.85
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$269.77
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+185.6%+$127.02
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$70.13
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.96
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.99
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.73
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$120.49
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$105.31
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$46.09
Will Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.03
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.