Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e97be9753dafd03193e2087b4285405780e0e6c337c0cb9e023fa16468b434b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d2…f2e6backed Yes | 25c | 5,060$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 12c | 4,816$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.01 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 2,979$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.07 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 2,220$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,811$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 1,140$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,125$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,004$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Yes | 12c | 916.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 13c | 775.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 459.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 25c | 428.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 27c | 414.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 80c | 407.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 11c | 386.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 77c | 358.32$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 264$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 248.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7529backed Yes | 24c | 207.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 198.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 171.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 157.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 17c | 155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 13c | 154.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +1,035.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 76c | 140.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 135.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 134.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 116.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 115.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed Yes | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes | 22c | 106.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Yes | 24c | 104.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 15c | 101.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 24c | 88.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 76c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 30.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 76c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 79c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 73c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.