Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc30737683ed6fac5543e96b89508860c623782c673d27cfd03568d1c4d6c40f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 1,825$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.71 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 51c | 1,564$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.15 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,075$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.17 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 628.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.26 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 543.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 403.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 339.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 338.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 314.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 23c | 287.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 18c | 181$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 28c | 177.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 177.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 65c | 157$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 74c | 137.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 23c | 133$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 72c | 117$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 29c | 103.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 75c | 95.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 88.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 85.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…f7b1backed Yes | 59c | 72.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +291.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…eac5backed Yes | 29c | 68.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 67c | 65.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 59.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 54.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 71c | 48.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 35c | 45.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Yes | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…e8cfbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.