Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0fe739394bade9237eec66ad0e67b71a017e9dcdf82a6b47269c103cbe6db20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd566…835abacked Yes | 25c | 7,643$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…79a8backed No | 74c | 3,254$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 2,730$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,726$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 2,389$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.36 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 75c | 2,013$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,949$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 1,580$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 78c | 1,217$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 1,160$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 944.43$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 410.57$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 75c | 410$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 26c | 405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 24c | 357.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 285.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 26c | 242.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…1f85backed No | 78c | 237.26$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 76c | 170.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 102.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 26c | 101.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 97.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 92.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 83.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 77c | 74.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…ebeebacked No | 77c | 74.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 78c | 72.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 56.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 50.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 41.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 38.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 37.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 76c | 33.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 76c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 76c | 29.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 77c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-19?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?No won
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.