Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0653b60d105f9280452d82639c1be07ebe60ce33b153b7a825d2d1c5765f0be1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,649$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 588.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 494.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 430.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 390.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 36c | 305$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 229.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Yes | 53c | 209.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 209.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 150.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 148.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 130.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 124.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 119.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 28c | 94.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 89.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 86.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 67.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 28c | 66.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 72c | 64.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 64.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 61.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 25c | 47.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 24.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 75c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-19?No won
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.