TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Yes50c21,624$10,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,909.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No51c19,383$9,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,811.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes49c10,264$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No53c9,247$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.621,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes40c7,808$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.573438.2%13 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No51c7,401$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.41844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ab…f5b8backed Yes42c6,908$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c6,571$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.1671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No50c5,125$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.8946044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c4,449$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.666047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c3,667$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.647,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c3,574$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.2687745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No51c3,155$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.952744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes43c2,990$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.616634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes46c2,545$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.18251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c2,253$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.172,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes48c2,093$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes50c2,014$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.6113244.7%59 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes50c1,634$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8172250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c1,539$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.6451842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7955044%22 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c1,450$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.1212337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No1c1,399$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5713542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed No3c1,334$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.67170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Yes52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Yes49c1,144$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes47c1,085$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.113855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes49c1,062$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.625850%29 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked No54c1,020$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.394847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.54012.5%5 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012054.2%65 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52523346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c952.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c903$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes47c882.68$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.821338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3885937.3%22 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c767.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.742,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes49c744.42$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No3c740$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Yes32c715.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No52c657.31$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.83036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No16c641.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.041931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c510.95$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6773440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No29c505$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.158948.3%43 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c470.47$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.511,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c468.18$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4991148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes48c460$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4544…7db1backed Yes50c321.16$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c313.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.582,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes48c313.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.978758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes50c309$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…d1babacked Yes66c297.76$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes49c287$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…bc0bbacked Yes50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed No56c259.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4114137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes47c252.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3311545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4eb6backed No52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes47c222.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3723347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102864.3%18 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes49c209.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0533853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310054%54 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda60…f676backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14417529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes61c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4323747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002931%9 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c196.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.698653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Yes44c195.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes49c194.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.122540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4b…394cbacked Yes48c191.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No51c186.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.239647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8898552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd647…08a5backed No27c171.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8d…8611backed Yes49c169.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick41cpaid+107.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c164$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.641,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Yes47c161.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.481681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7526051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.411841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes46c134$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.366642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…1f85backed Yes40c119.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.47666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes43c104.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.014025%10 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.