TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dd9…bc0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$214.96
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$280.69
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$93.58
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$103.33
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+74.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.