Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78affd402fac690a338577d70f50ba2c25200ed14953dd96cbe16d919c38d190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 17,989$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.22 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 61c | 17,682$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.81 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 14,215$9,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.43 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 13,317$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 10c | 12,963$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 14c | 12,140$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 10,494$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.34 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 14c | 10,460$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 32c | 10,148$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 7,659$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.68 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 30c | 7,355$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 72c | 7,251$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.67 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 5,756$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.35 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 16c | 5,125$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 22c | 4,696$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.58 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 27c | 4,612$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.1 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed No | 17c | 4,028$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 16c | 3,914$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.44 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 16c | 3,902$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 3,343$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 3,165$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.24 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 3,103$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.22 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 6c | 2,971$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Yes | 17c | 2,615$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 68c | 2,432$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.24 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 23c | 2,191$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 50c | 2,143$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 68c | 2,078$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.81 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 1,790$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.98 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Yes | 80c | 1,725$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 24c | 1,605$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.57 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 25c | 1,602$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.51 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 1,549$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.82 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 72c | 1,522$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.59 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 1,493$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.36 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 41c | 1,462$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.64 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 36c | 1,443$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,386$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.43 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 1,370$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.75 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 78c | 1,308$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,248$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 33c | 1,136$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 33c | 1,136$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 1,136$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 33c | 1,124$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,113$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,110$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 20c | 1,088$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 1,028$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Yes | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Yes | 23c | 900$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 68c | 859.35$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 68c | 819.95$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 762.05$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…2ed5backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…d3e3backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 19c | 721$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes | 63c | 707.67$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 44c | 672$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 62c | 599.45$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 62c | 578.71$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 12c | 578$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 40c | 479.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 10c | 478.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 20c | 461.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 32c | 449.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 433.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e07…ce0cbacked Yes | 16c | 425.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 34c | 422.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Yes | 68c | 404.41$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 27c | 385.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 70c | 382$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 344.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 34c | 328.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 25c | 315.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked No | 11c | 314.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 309.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 37c | 298.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 70c | 285.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 33c | 277.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 8c | 276.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 67c | 276.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked No | 22c | 261.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 17c | 255.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 79c | 246.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 20c | 237.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 66c | 220.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked No | 37c | 218.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 72c | 216.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 69c | 207.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 15c | 206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 15c | 206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.