Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97508d1c1bd27e81a1cc767e73f424e5224d4bf2534ee5af381bcc07df6d976b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 15,732$9,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,901.62 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 2,530$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.64 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,288$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.42 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 2,125$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.79 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 47c | 2,115$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 2,035$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.8 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,932$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.27 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 38c | 1,711$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.52 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.78 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 36c | 1,156$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.84 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 1,096$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 998.07$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.45 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 607.3$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 604.7$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 487.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 405$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 404.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 403.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 330.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 37c | 296$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 250.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 37c | 189$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 160.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 148.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 37c | 122.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 38c | 90.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 64c | 90.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Yes | 64c | 81.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 39c | 78.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 64c | 67.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 52.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…bc0bbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 46.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 42.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 37c | 36.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…5707backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…c677backed No | 65c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 40c | 27.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…d429backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 56c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Yes | 60c | 17.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: CF Montréal O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.