Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1c83822e71172befdc7b7c85d502cce9d61be0662ce4524c3308acf20c95e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 9,659$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.51 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 17c | 5,725$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.01 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 5,560$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 16c | 3,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 18c | 2,500$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.45 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 2,366$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 18c | 2,364$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.91 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 17c | 2,205$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.15 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 17c | 2,205$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.15 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 2,205$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.32 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 1,756$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.56 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 24c | 1,043$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 17c | 900$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 848.36$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 62c | 499.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 30c | 400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 391.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 16c | 333.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 51c | 289.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Over | 50c | 287.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 17c | 280$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 17c | 280$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 17c | 280$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 17c | 265$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 245.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 243.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 17c | 240.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 18c | 237.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 17c | 236$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 29c | 221.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 213.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 75c | 208.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under | 18c | 180$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 169.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…83d6backed Under | 44c | 150.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 18c | 134.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 17c | 130.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 61c | 124.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 115.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Under | 17c | 110.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 31c | 110.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 17c | 103$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 63c | 99.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 60c | 97.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 93.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 58c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 17c | 62.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0cf2backed Under | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 48.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…d635backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…63a4backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: CF Montréal O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.