TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f37…281bbacked Over23c8,050$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.473821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c7,514$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.253,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c5,389$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.3698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c5,035$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.431675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over60c4,776$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under40c4,706$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over60c4,308$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.9933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c2,915$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.971,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over58c2,697$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50072850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c2,189$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.2670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c1,957$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.5899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Over58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c937$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c937$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c937$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over15c839.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c695.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.641,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c437.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over53c432.07$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over33c400$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under41c386.3$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.923953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c367.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under45c356.01$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over60c333.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.081735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33ae…658dbacked Over60c316.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over8c313$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.041915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c294.02$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3912058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under40c235.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c218$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.351,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4635247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under41c195$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2732848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c192.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.831,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c186.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c176.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under77c173.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Over60c161.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.818456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over10c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+139.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c146.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0223350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under41c145.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.073066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c119.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0410249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under39c106.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6552923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over60c101.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under41c101.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.748129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over21c98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5812839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over47c94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204639.1%18 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over57c86.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.444639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7911144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over42c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over60c46.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under40c45.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Under41c45.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under40c33.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9211848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ef…0172backed Over60c31.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over59c30.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde0…d27cbacked Under40c28.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under41c27.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under42c24.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.222934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.062373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd8f…f877backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over59c17.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.453661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.525862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.