TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e6f…f8e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.41
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.8
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.73
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.53
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$67.09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$90.11
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$48.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.09
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.68
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$128.7
Zug: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.77
Set 1 Winner: Korpatsch vs Kasintsevabacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.44
Set 1 Winner: Semenistaja vs Krausbacked Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Wimbledon WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.7
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$38.28
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.96
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Tristan Boyer vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$15.41
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Tom Gentzschbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickovabacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Mayar Sherifbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$38.79
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$49.52
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$27.9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$175.94
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$69.3
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.07
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.64
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.67
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.7
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.7
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.71
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.24
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.1
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$187
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$206.4
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$135.11
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$344.56
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.65
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$53.77
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$25.86
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nursulton Ruziboev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$177
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.