TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Tristan Boyer vs Andrea Pellegrino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tristan Boyerof Tristan Boyer, Andrea Pellegrino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Pellegrino35c8,721$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.798,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tristan Boyer69c6,116$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.874,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tristan Boyer70c5,609$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.856,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Tristan Boyer66c5,455$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.2556651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andrea Pellegrino33c5,230$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.323,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tristan Boyer76c4,251$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.898,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Andrea Pellegrino35c3,861$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Andrea Pellegrino27c3,859$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.023,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tristan Boyer70c2,814$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Tristan Boyer67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tristan Boyer71c2,268$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tristan Boyer69c1,587$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.874,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Andrea Pellegrino38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c66…0a4fbacked Tristan Boyer62c1,042$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tristan Boyer67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Andrea Pellegrino24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Andrea Pellegrino38c1,000$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.292,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Andrea Pellegrino19c999.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18512227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Andrea Pellegrino34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tristan Boyer64c967.98$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.173,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Andrea Pellegrino24c876.25$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andrea Pellegrino3c857.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.544,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andrea Pellegrino33c839.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.985,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Pellegrino35c650.12$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.114,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Andrea Pellegrino40c564.83$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Andrea Pellegrino19c325.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.421,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andrea Pellegrino31c299.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.843,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Tristan Boyer63c299.12$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tristan Boyer69c293.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.85,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Andrea Pellegrino36c291.36$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.611,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Andrea Pellegrino36c281.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.411,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Andrea Pellegrino37c275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7544751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Tristan Boyer61c265.28$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4652152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Andrea Pellegrino38c253.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.92,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tristan Boyer65c202$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.77,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Tristan Boyer64c194.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Andrea Pellegrino36c184.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.421,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Andrea Pellegrino35c184.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Pellegrino33c179.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Andrea Pellegrino23c179.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.522433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Andrea Pellegrino14c175.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Andrea Pellegrino32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5643952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Pellegrino36c154.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.248,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Andrea Pellegrino34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tristan Boyer67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2558045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tristan Boyer65c146$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.155032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Andrea Pellegrino11c142.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6952910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tristan Boyer78c142$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Andrea Pellegrino34c125.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tristan Boyer62c119.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.622246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Andrea Pellegrino36c112.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Andrea Pellegrino35c111.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Andrea Pellegrino34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Andrea Pellegrino34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.683447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Andrea Pellegrino36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9978152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Andrea Pellegrino29c96.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1355748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Tristan Boyer61c96.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Andrea Pellegrino36c83.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0478847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Andrea Pellegrino29c82.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9362727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Tristan Boyer66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7667852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Tristan Boyer66c75.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.378047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Andrea Pellegrino36c75.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0860651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Andrea Pellegrino37c70.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Andrea Pellegrino34c64.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Andrea Pellegrino35c57.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Andrea Pellegrino39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Tristan Boyer66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6f…f8e8backed Tristan Boyer62c40.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.412962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tristan Boyer69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Tristan Boyer77c37.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6323159.3%137 W · 94 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Tristan Boyer61c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03be…cd20backed Andrea Pellegrino38c36.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.853641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tristan Boyer71c35.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.282,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Andrea Pellegrino36c34.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5819445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Andrea Pellegrino34c33.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2647251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Andrea Pellegrino36c32.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Tristan Boyer65c32.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3431657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Andrea Pellegrino36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Tristan Boyer64c28.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Tristan Boyer63c27.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0535457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Tristan Boyer64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.919064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Tristan Boyer65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…2b32backed Tristan Boyer69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Tristan Boyer65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tristan Boyer60c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.864,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9250…6f76backed Tristan Boyer62c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Tristan Boyer66c15.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.278654.7%47 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.