TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9250…6f76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Newport: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.7
ITF Dallas: Sebastian Gorzny vs Landon Ardilabacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.58
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.61
ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
ITF Palma Del Rio: Ayla Aksu vs Anna Kubarevabacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.7
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.94
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Tristan Boyer vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Polina Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$24.68
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.92
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.08
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.48
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.84
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.