MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48cd516b8e121227e822eef65706ac231431ccb2695a61bf5528ec653af43f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Los Angeles Angels, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 42,000$19,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,739.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 33,645$18,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,803.74 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 33,312$17,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,656.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 29,545$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 23,396$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,996.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 22,378$15,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 22,218$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.39 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 15,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 14,301$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.73 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 14,007$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 9,873$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 8,585$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 7,589$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 6,902$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 6,557$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.46 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 5,665$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 5,611$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 4,993$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.12 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,789$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.92 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 4,518$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.3 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 4,059$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 3,676$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.66 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.33 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 3,010$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,836$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.04 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 2,746$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,688$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.84 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 2,435$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,411$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.71 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,362$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.44 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,010$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,933$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,873$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.73 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 1,669$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.97 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,542$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.05 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 1,489$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,332$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 1,221$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 1,207$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 1,136$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,086$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,074$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.35 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 980.34$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.76 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 945.05$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.92 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 891.19$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 883.12$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 856.55$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 758.56$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 745.82$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.16 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 726.95$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 604$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 546$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 500.07$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 494.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 484.57$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 476.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 467.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 401.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 378.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 345.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 335.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 317.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 316.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 292.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 289$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 267.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 260.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 254$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 249$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 244.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.