Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241cf9af60a1025ca96e83d0e0568811750901b3d0c19dc2c1a6c673120e39c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 16,938$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 21c | 4,296$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.45 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 3,026$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,809$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.26 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 27c | 2,502$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 18c | 1,816$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.97 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,564$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed No | 57c | 1,109$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 17c | 1,082$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 1,045$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 2c | 779.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 2c | 749.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 78c | 651$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 636.41$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 80c | 551.07$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Yes | 43c | 506.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 401$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 78c | 265.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 56c | 229.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 78c | 205.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 204.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…ea1bbacked Yes | 43c | 192$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 78c | 156.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 118$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 105.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 77c | 105.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 43c | 105.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 71c | 102.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…a5ffbacked Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…c86bbacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 72.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…71fbbacked Yes | 44c | 60.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 49c | 48.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…6f76backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…4d5abacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…92dbbacked Yes | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 79c | 37.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 34.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 51c | 29.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 47c | 27.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x55eb…423dbacked Yes | 43c | 23.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. GKS GieKSa Katowice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.