Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a96cfb9090a3c1a4935b8b10859761738d171951ffc136a5ab7df1be0ffee7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,945$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.33 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,921$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.72 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,808$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,128$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,033$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,003$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 29c | 999$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 732$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 524.55$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 71c | 499.45$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 375$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 207.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 30c | 177.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 129.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 71c | 108.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 70c | 86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 70c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 69.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 27c | 68.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 73c | 68.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed No | 70c | 22.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. GKS GieKSa Katowice end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.