Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35136624de7e88e9430b6151530c35b37539dd9c2c7fd9dc978dbdb6ce09094e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatjana Mariaof Lucrezia Stefanini, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 1c | 21,899$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 1c | 8,166$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 926.95$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 791.26$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 22c | 613.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 19c | 567.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 25c | 555.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…308bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…39e1backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 390.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 203.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 26c | 193.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 25c | 180$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 165.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 25c | 143.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tatjana Maria | 76c | 137.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Tatjana Maria | 76c | 118.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 109.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tatjana Maria | 80c | 107.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 95.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 18c | 94.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 93.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 16c | 86.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 85.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 81.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 81.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 70.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 18c | 62.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 57.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 48.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Tatjana Maria | 76c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 38.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Tatjana Maria | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Tatjana Maria | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…6f76backed Tatjana Maria | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.