TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe69c…7f9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT17168.4%117 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Shu Muto vs Reiya Komagatabacked Shu Muto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Sanhui Shin vs Ryuki Matsudabacked Sanhui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
ITF Hechingen: Eva Bennemann vs Josy Daemsbacked Eva Bennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
ITF Knokke-Heist: Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Ikumi Yamazakibacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xubacked Ariana Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephensbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
The Memphis Classic: Katherine Sebov vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Samsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
Samsun: Radu Albot vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascualbacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$15.4
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
ITF Bali: Isaac Becroft vs Hikaru Shiraishibacked Hikaru Shiraishi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Bali: Taisei Ichikawa vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Mukund Sasikumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Phambacked Chase Ferguson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
ITF Santa Fe: Kristina Penickova vs Anastasia Kulikovabacked Anastasia Kulikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
ITF Brisbane: Jeremy Zhang vs Taiki Takizawabacked Jeremy Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Brisbane: Duje Markovina vs Blake Ellisbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$21.32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$37.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$17.46
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunderbacked Oklahoma City Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.