Tennis · resolved market
ITF Santa Fe: Kristina Penickova vs Anastasia Kulikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5cf2a5c4c19bbdc5f6a8c557df142d679ecfe3302ed1bd48f82dcd5eedd373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Kulikovaof Kristina Penickova, Anastasia Kulikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristina Penickova | 1c | 14,022$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Anastasia Kulikova | 58c | 8,043$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.9 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kristina Penickova | 42c | 4,265$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kristina Penickova | 1c | 2,020$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kristina Penickova | 42c | 900$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kristina Penickova | 19c | 876.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kristina Penickova | 21c | 775.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kristina Penickova | 41c | 646.67$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kristina Penickova | 41c | 611.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kristina Penickova | 43c | 599.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Kristina Penickova | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kristina Penickova | 41c | 221.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Kristina Penickova | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Kristina Penickova | 41c | 98.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kristina Penickova | 41c | 97.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kristina Penickova | 42c | 73.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4214backed Anastasia Kulikova | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…3a31backed Anastasia Kulikova | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Santa Fe: Kristina Penickova vs Anastasia Kulikovathis page
- Set Handicap: Kulikova (-1.5) vs Penickova (+1.5)Kulikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.