Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198fae66ef441ff882c72c22a6cddb6ff0cab63fd1a39d6edf6920317722a0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chase Fergusonof Chase Ferguson, Derek Pham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chase Ferguson | 65c | 17,810$11,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Derek Pham | 43c | 9,880$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Chase Ferguson | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.77 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Derek Pham | 4c | 2,709$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Derek Pham | 50c | 1,828$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.57 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Derek Pham | 8c | 1,719$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Derek Pham | 48c | 1,673$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Derek Pham | 8c | 1,540$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Derek Pham | 24c | 1,323$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chase Ferguson | 57c | 1,312$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Derek Pham | 46c | 1,233$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Derek Pham | 11c | 1,024$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Derek Pham | 38c | 844.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.91 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Derek Pham | 32c | 656.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chase Ferguson | 67c | 648.36$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Derek Pham | 8c | 620$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Derek Pham | 33c | 606.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Derek Pham | 11c | 590$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Derek Pham | 56c | 535.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Derek Pham | 46c | 458.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chase Ferguson | 67c | 434.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chase Ferguson | 60c | 363.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Chase Ferguson | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chase Ferguson | 47c | 295.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Derek Pham | 49c | 228$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Derek Pham | 38c | 202.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Derek Pham | 23c | 173.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Derek Pham | 24c | 147.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Chase Ferguson | 61c | 143.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Chase Ferguson | 61c | 140.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Chase Ferguson | 61c | 140.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Derek Pham | 56c | 137.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Derek Pham | 10c | 131.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Chase Ferguson | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Chase Ferguson | 70c | 96.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Derek Pham | 27c | 84.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Derek Pham | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chase Ferguson | 46c | 79.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Derek Pham | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Derek Pham | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Derek Pham | 42c | 56.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Derek Pham | 42c | 56.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Derek Pham | 31c | 56.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Derek Pham | 42c | 54.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Derek Pham | 53c | 54.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Derek Pham | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Derek Pham | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Chase Ferguson | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Derek Pham | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Chase Ferguson | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Derek Pham | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Chase Ferguson | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Derek Pham | 40c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Derek Pham | 29c | 37.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chase Ferguson | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chase Ferguson | 77c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Derek Pham | 42c | 33.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Chase Ferguson | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Derek Pham | 42c | 32.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Chase Ferguson | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…98b3backed Chase Ferguson | 49c | 30.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…08bcbacked Chase Ferguson | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Derek Pham | 52c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Chase Ferguson | 60c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Chase Ferguson | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Chase Ferguson | 64c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Chase Ferguson | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chase Ferguson | 59c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.