Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Isaac Becroft vs Hikaru Shiraishi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99330b4703628a2abc0d7b82b3e6ac7e354d47c4321540b6c76389af138a2e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isaac Becroftof Isaac Becroft, Hikaru Shiraishi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Isaac Becroft | 21c | 2,833$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.4 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 80c | 2,142$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Isaac Becroft | 20c | 670.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.54 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Isaac Becroft | 63c | 540$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 46c | 532.13$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isaac Becroft | 38c | 494.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.84 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 35c | 220.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 44c | 172.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 70c | 165.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 44c | 159.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Isaac Becroft | 14c | 140.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 40c | 121.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isaac Becroft | 58c | 101.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Isaac Becroft | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Isaac Becroft | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Isaac Becroft | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isaac Becroft | 39c | 75.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Isaac Becroft | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 44c | 69.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Isaac Becroft | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isaac Becroft | 30c | 44.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Isaac Becroft | 65c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 67c | 24.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Isaac Becroft | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.