Tennis · resolved market
Samsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247d753811a6339528b37e4878f6ff31105a5d24d55e3a6122049680eddcdd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koki Matsudaof Karan Singh, Koki Matsuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Karan Singh | 12c | 18,927$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.71 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Koki Matsuda | 67c | 3,446$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.93 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karan Singh | 35c | 1,375$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Koki Matsuda | 77c | 1,324$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Karan Singh | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Karan Singh | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karan Singh | 11c | 777.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Karan Singh | 21c | 770.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karan Singh | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Karan Singh | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Koki Matsuda | 64c | 593.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Karan Singh | 36c | 561.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karan Singh | 35c | 514.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Karan Singh | 7c | 495.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Karan Singh | 23c | 470.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karan Singh | 10c | 462$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Karan Singh | 31c | 280.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Koki Matsuda | 78c | 208.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karan Singh | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Karan Singh | 8c | 195.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Karan Singh | 36c | 195.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Koki Matsuda | 79c | 191.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Karan Singh | 32c | 155.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Karan Singh | 36c | 149.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Koki Matsuda | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karan Singh | 10c | 128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Karan Singh | 36c | 125.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karan Singh | 11c | 115.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Karan Singh | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Koki Matsuda | 64c | 98.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karan Singh | 21c | 97.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Koki Matsuda | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karan Singh | 23c | 86.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Karan Singh | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Koki Matsuda | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Karan Singh | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Koki Matsuda | 80c | 67.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Koki Matsuda | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Koki Matsuda | 65c | 62.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karan Singh | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Karan Singh | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c79…2d49backed Koki Matsuda | 64c | 54.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Koki Matsuda | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Karan Singh | 34c | 40.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Karan Singh | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…9ce3backed Koki Matsuda | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Koki Matsuda | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Koki Matsuda | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Koki Matsuda | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Karan Singh | 34c | 30.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Karan Singh | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Koki Matsuda | 65c | 29.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…ec5bbacked Karan Singh | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…bf43backed Koki Matsuda | 75c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Koki Matsuda | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Koki Matsuda | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Koki Matsuda | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Koki Matsuda | 65c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Koki Matsuda | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.