Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Taisei Ichikawa vs Mukund Sasikumar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfa62692a23265c6af7c08eb345b9d0051724e423073582170d37010f14b5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taisei Ichikawaof Taisei Ichikawa, Mukund Sasikumar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mukund Sasikumar | 16c | 9,384$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.91 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Taisei Ichikawa | 54c | 384.14$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 78c | 291.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Mukund Sasikumar | 12c | 242.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mukund Sasikumar | 48c | 232.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Mukund Sasikumar | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 47c | 103.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Mukund Sasikumar | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Taisei Ichikawa | 77c | 99.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Mukund Sasikumar | 13c | 81.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Taisei Ichikawa | 47c | 71.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Mukund Sasikumar | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 44.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Mukund Sasikumar | 60c | 33.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Mukund Sasikumar | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Taisei Ichikawa | 54c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Taisei Ichikawa | 68c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.