Tennis · resolved market
The Memphis Classic: Katherine Sebov vs Elvina Kalieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380775b70c70594a10a120a68ae363695206c42648fb5f44473306e8db9e98ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elvina Kalievaof Katherine Sebov, Elvina Kalieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Elvina Kalieva | 66c | 10,211$6,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.65 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katherine Sebov | 4c | 7,070$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.52 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katherine Sebov | 14c | 6,772$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.45 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Katherine Sebov | 10c | 5,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Katherine Sebov | 10c | 4,985$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.79 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Elvina Kalieva | 67c | 2,913$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.46 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Katherine Sebov | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Katherine Sebov | 37c | 2,441$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 376 | 44.7%168 W · 208 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Katherine Sebov | 12c | 2,247$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Katherine Sebov | 34c | 1,624$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.23 | 1,887 | 45.8%864 W · 1,023 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Elvina Kalieva | 66c | 1,086$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Katherine Sebov | 8c | 1,050$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Katherine Sebov | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Katherine Sebov | 13c | 966.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Katherine Sebov | 10c | 961.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Elvina Kalieva | 64c | 857.79$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 1,889 | 44.8%846 W · 1,043 L | +36.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Katherine Sebov | 35c | 851.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Katherine Sebov | 8c | 510.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Katherine Sebov | 6c | 472.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Katherine Sebov | 16c | 461.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,789 | 46.3%828 W · 961 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Katherine Sebov | 7c | 456.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 2,881 | 49.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Katherine Sebov | 35c | 432.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Katherine Sebov | 39c | 409.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katherine Sebov | 11c | 384.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Katherine Sebov | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Katherine Sebov | 10c | 239.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 762 | 12.1%92 W · 670 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Katherine Sebov | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Katherine Sebov | 41c | 190.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Katherine Sebov | 8c | 185.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Katherine Sebov | 34c | 176.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 517 | 45.6%236 W · 281 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katherine Sebov | 22c | 155.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Katherine Sebov | 14c | 144.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…67efbacked Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 851 | 57.6%490 W · 361 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…72f1backed Katherine Sebov | 35c | 122.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Katherine Sebov | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Katherine Sebov | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Katherine Sebov | 14c | 108.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 39.8%100 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 107.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Elvina Kalieva | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Katherine Sebov | 13c | 84.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Elvina Kalieva | 64c | 81.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,111 | 52.8%587 W · 524 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Katherine Sebov | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 62.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Katherine Sebov | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 50.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Katherine Sebov | 35c | 42.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 39.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Katherine Sebov | 36c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Elvina Kalieva | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Elvina Kalieva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Elvina Kalieva | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Elvina Kalieva | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.