TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c55…3408

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT9162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumichbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.95
The Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Los Cabos Open: Aidan Mayo vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.34
Vancouver: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.61
Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Charles Broombacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Edward Winterbacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.26
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Vancouver: Hayu Kinoshita vs Kyoka Okamurabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.63
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.39
Vancouver: En-Shuo Liang vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$9.68
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Liberec: Duje Ajdukovic vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.49
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$34.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.