TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Charles Broom

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Charles Broom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Charles Broom10c5,107$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki68c3,655$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.9994068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Charles Broom34c3,128$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Shintaro Mochizuki34c2,500$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.923,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Shintaro Mochizuki63c1,580$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.6822667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki54c1,235$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.768,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Charles Broom40c1,130$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.871,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Charles Broom39c847.79$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.049761.9%60 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Charles Broom43c827.25$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.873,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Charles Broom25c825.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.864,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Charles Broom39c644.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.271,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Charles Broom35c600.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.392,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c556.93$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.892,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8737444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Charles Broom4c326.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.433,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Charles Broom36c320.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Shintaro Mochizuki63c270.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.871,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Shintaro Mochizuki62c270$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c265.57$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki42c259.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5236545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Charles Broom38c257.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.912,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Charles Broom38c256.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.053,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Charles Broom33c253.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.74,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Charles Broom35c203.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4163537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Charles Broom35c200.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.11,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Charles Broom37c188.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.938957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Charles Broom35c175.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.552,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Charles Broom58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki20c161.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.244,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki62c155.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.181,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Shintaro Mochizuki31c152.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.932,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Shintaro Mochizuki63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Charles Broom36c147.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Shintaro Mochizuki60c144.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.35,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf051…acd4backed Shintaro Mochizuki71c140.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.227851.3%40 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Shintaro Mochizuki60c133.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3339648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Charles Broom38c130.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Shintaro Mochizuki72c128.07$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.474,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Charles Broom42c127.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.741,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Charles Broom28c125.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0644349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Shintaro Mochizuki28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7239844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Charles Broom40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Shintaro Mochizuki66c99.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Shintaro Mochizuki35c96.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5343144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Charles Broom58c94.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki57c86.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac4…356fbacked Charles Broom22c83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Charles Broom34c75.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9955941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Charles Broom40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki60c66.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6717748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Charles Broom42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Charles Broom35c64.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0376355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Charles Broom29c61.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7855941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Charles Broom36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Charles Broom36c55.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Charles Broom40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Shintaro Mochizuki66c49.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6723162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Charles Broom50c46.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.745,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Shintaro Mochizuki64c41.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Shintaro Mochizuki73c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5392674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki63c38.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4313770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki29c37.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9315552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Shintaro Mochizuki64c36.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0118666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Shintaro Mochizuki60c33.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3317147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Charles Broom39c32.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Charles Broom34c32.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1624546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ad…2602backed Charles Broom38c32.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x037d…22a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c29.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8359366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Charles Broom37c28.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.597,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Shintaro Mochizuki64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0811144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Charles Broom72c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.865642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Shintaro Mochizuki59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1552552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Shintaro Mochizuki48c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1315155%83 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.69867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Shintaro Mochizuki68c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.761,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c16.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5946851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki63c15.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.