Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf10fd537ead8377ed5f5f8b5f17477d0165b4c0f65f3409c134fa4501246105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Costoulasof Lizette Cabrera, Sofia Costoulas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 5,113$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.92 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sofia Costoulas | 77c | 4,239$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lizette Cabrera | 11c | 838.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Lizette Cabrera | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lizette Cabrera | 30c | 769$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sofia Costoulas | 68c | 579.9$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 540$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 513.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Lizette Cabrera | 32c | 479.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Lizette Cabrera | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lizette Cabrera | 18c | 282.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Sofia Costoulas | 62c | 240.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 211.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Sofia Costoulas | 68c | 202.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 171$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lizette Cabrera | 17c | 169.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Lizette Cabrera | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lizette Cabrera | 17c | 142.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 138.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lizette Cabrera | 11c | 131.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 113$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lizette Cabrera | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 92.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sofia Costoulas | 76c | 78.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lizette Cabrera | 16c | 69.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 69.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 67.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lizette Cabrera | 27c | 56.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Sofia Costoulas | 79c | 56.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Lizette Cabrera | 27c | 53.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Lizette Cabrera | 26c | 51.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Lizette Cabrera | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 38.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 38.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sofia Costoulas | 73c | 32.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Sofia Costoulas | 71c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sofia Costoulas | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Sofia Costoulas | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Sofia Costoulas | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sofia Costoulas | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Sofia Costoulas | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.