TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf91e…dc10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.67
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.82
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.64
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.1
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise - Map 2 Winnerbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69%+$62.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66%+$65.95
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs SINQU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group Abacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.51
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$114.93
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$52.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5933.9%20 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston: Lucas Da Silva vs Tyler Zinkbacked Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.74
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.6
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Vancouver: Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Cody Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bonn: Niels McDonald vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Lizette Cabrera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Xinyu Wang vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
San Marino: Juan Carlos Prado vs Hugo Dellienbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagalbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Vancouver: Teah Chavez vs Nao Hibinobacked Teah Chavez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineaubacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Segovia: Mert Alkaya vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+662.4%+$152.36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$65.91
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$71.19
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$32.53
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$36.58
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.23
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giantsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lionsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.