Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41ac22bac5c459e9da3378796b52cb33597fc174a53db205e41fd649fe292d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,199.79 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 28c | 21,542$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,546.87 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 68c | 18,812$12,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,827.68 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 13,938$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.98 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 25c | 8,009$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.78 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 26c | 7,742$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.79 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 7,349$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.41 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 6,426$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.87 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 4,903$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 75c | 4,605$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.67 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 70c | 3,934$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.62 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 3,759$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.91 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 32c | 3,012$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.72 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.92 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 57c | 2,873$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.42 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 15c | 2,750$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 26c | 2,700$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…432fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,696$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 2,500$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.27 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 38c | 2,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 75c | 2,185$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.04 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 74c | 2,141$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.24 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,046$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes | 30c | 2,006$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 25c | 1,984$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.97 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 1,832$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 27c | 1,753$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.98 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.45 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 1,354$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 1,331$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.17 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 27c | 1,306$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.19 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 1,300$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.64 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Yes | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 19c | 1,108$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.02 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 62c | 1,106$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.36 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 45c | 1,101$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.16 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…94abbacked Yes | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 999.93$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.95 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…11f6backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 26c | 834$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.16 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes | 44c | 829.42$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45b…f362backed Yes | 24c | 824.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 43c | 793.42$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 56c | 777$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…8cffbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 14c | 754$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 746.47$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 74c | 714.1$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.43 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…0abcbacked Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 41c | 621.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 26c | 615.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.38 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 35c | 570.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 519.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.59 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 74c | 499.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 412$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 74c | 405.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.06 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…936ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked No | 73c | 376.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…083abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…26bfbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 76c | 366.27$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes | 28c | 360.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 35c | 354.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…d269backed Yes | 24c | 349.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 44c | 341.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed No | 76c | 325.82$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…2718backed No | 75c | 310.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked No | 76c | 296.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 32c | 295.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…6a61backed Yes | 25c | 292.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.46 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked No | 19c | 283.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…d7bebacked Yes | 26c | 280.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…3888backed Yes | 43c | 278.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…76abbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ shotsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.