Fifa International · resolved market
Michael Olise: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd8324eb75e6c924775946b8897b8f55f2c84560d76f998607063e92abf40a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 71c | 4,207$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.92 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 69c | 3,978$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.7 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 33c | 3,491$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 3,360$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.22 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 3,293$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.32 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 2,384$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.97 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 29c | 2,252$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.07 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 2,145$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 72c | 2,109$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.23 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 68c | 1,812$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 73c | 1,067$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 31c | 776.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes | 13c | 750$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes | 17c | 749.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 68c | 730.52$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 68c | 727.04$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 31c | 725.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.29 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 694.21$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 72c | 693.45$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 31c | 677.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 32c | 671.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 20c | 565$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 73c | 500.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…f856backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 18c | 480.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 69c | 469$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 21c | 465.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 24c | 423.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 418.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 27c | 367.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 68c | 366.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 25c | 362.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Yes | 31c | 318.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…5208backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…d26abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 74c | 304.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 28c | 300.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Yes | 33c | 297.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 32c | 296.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 259.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 19c | 240$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes | 26c | 187.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…a511backed Yes | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…4bdcbacked Yes | 34c | 146.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 144.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Yes | 32c | 143$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…05adbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 71c | 130.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265c…dea2backed Yes | 32c | 114.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Yes | 31c | 108.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 31c | 105.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…356bbacked Yes | 19c | 101.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…0be9backed Yes | 20c | 100.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…40abbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 32c | 93.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…193bbacked Yes | 31c | 91.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Yes | 32c | 83.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…da70backed No | 69c | 75.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…4b3dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 34c | 73.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 68c | 72.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ shotsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Théo Hernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.