TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Désiré Doué: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes18c2,799$494 inLost-$493.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes23c650$150 inLost-$149.54528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes17c647$109 inLost-$109.072,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes19c567.1$109 inLost-$108.7541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes17c545.8$94 inLost-$94.371,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No80c500$400 inWon+$1005969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes17c378$64 inLost-$64.262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes22c327$71 inLost-$70.6727242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost-$509237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes18c278.61$50 inLost-$508127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost-$4022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes15c200$30 inLost-$3010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes9c127$11 inLost-$11.437540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$2043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1a…5243backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…1dd9backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$202433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…1371backed No80c100$80 inWon+$203476.5%26 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes18c77.78$14 inLost-$148331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes19c65$12 inLost-$12.351,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes18c61$11 inLost-$10.981,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No79c20$16 inWon+$4.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.