TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaffc…cddcbacked No31c425.3$132 inLost-$131.846937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e9…30d8backed Yes69c362.32$250 inWon+$112.321662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No31c183.08$56 inLost-$56.041,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0581…f2dcbacked Yes69c91.39$63 inWon+$28.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes57c90$51 inWon+$38.9782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No42c70.24$29 inLost-$29.482,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes69c68.9$47 inWon+$21.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…a0d5backed Yes70c65.94$46 inWon+$19.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Yes69c43.04$30 inWon+$13.3421557.7%124 W · 91 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No31c35.65$11 inLost-$11.052,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b81…1b46backed No38c30.28$11 inLost-$11.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes61c16.69$10 inWon+$6.511,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.